Madison is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Madison typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Madison, ~31% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Madison compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Madison is the most Democratic-leaning.
Madison runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Madison is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Madison. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+46) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+42), a spread of about 88 points.
Why Madison leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Madison, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Madison votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Madison runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Madison, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Madison looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Madison is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 12 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Madison rent, compared to around 17% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Madison have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hopewell, FL R+19
- Hanson, FL R+42
- Lee, FL R+53
- Pinetta, FL R+58
- Lovett, FL R+50
- Greenville, FL R+24
- Ellaville, FL R+64
- Clyattville, GA R+49
- Sirmans, FL R+62
- Jennings, FL R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harahan, LA R+29
- Ayden, NC R+8
- Bel Aire, KS R+10
- Sioux Center, IA R+47
- Cornelia, GA R+50
- Valdese, NC R+43
- New Richmond, OH R+50
- Golden Hills, CA R+37
- Helena Valley West Central, MT R+16
- Toronto, OH R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.