Grove City leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Grove City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grove City, ~28% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grove City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grove City leans more Republican than 13 of 114 neighbors.
Grove City runs about 26 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grove City. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Grove City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grove City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grove City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, well above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Grove City, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Grove City looks the way it does
Turnout in Grove City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McDowell Corners, PA R+37
- Centertown, PA R+51
- North Liberty, PA R+47
- Harrisville, PA R+50
- Pardoe, PA R+48
- Barkeyville, PA R+58
- Millbrook, PA R+53
- Wesley, PA R+58
- Slippery Rock, PA R+19
- Leesburg, PA R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Colchester, VT D+12
- Ladys Island, SC R+19
- Oak Park, CA D+24
- Mendota, CA D+12
- Weddington, NC R+21
- Ojai, CA D+33
- Exeter, CA R+39
- Covington, TN R+19
- Western Springs, IL D+21
- Carbondale, CO D+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.