Covington, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Covington

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Covington leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in Covington typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Covington, ~24% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Covington compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Covington leans more Republican than 19 of 56 neighbors.

Covington runs about 10 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Covington. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+50) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+54), a spread of about 104 points.

Why Covington leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Covington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Covington votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well above the Tennessee average of 21%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Covington, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Covington looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Covington is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Covington rent, compared to around 20% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.