Guilford Center leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Guilford Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guilford Center, ~17% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guilford Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guilford Center leans more Republican than 90 of 105 neighbors.
Guilford Center runs about 58 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Guilford Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Guilford Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guilford Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Guilford Center drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Guilford Center fits that profile on both counts. Guilford Center runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Guilford Center, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Guilford Center looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 11% of homes in Guilford Center have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Guilford, NY R+43
- Mount Upton, NY R+41
- Rockdale, NY R+41
- White Store, NY R+33
- Springvale, NY R+38
- West Bainbridge, NY R+40
- Oxford, NY R+39
- Gilbertsville, NY R+18
- South Oxford, NY R+45
- Bainbridge, NY R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shelly, MN R+42
- Drifting, PA R+60
- Temple, IN R+50
- Telbasta, NE R+55
- New Era, IA R+27
- Dougherty, IA R+47
- Sunny Side, TX R+14
- Belknap, IL R+62
- West Tuckerton, NJ R+40
- Mauzy, IN R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.