South Oxford leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 77% of adults in South Oxford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Oxford, ~22% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Oxford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Oxford leans more Republican than 75 of 101 neighbors.
South Oxford runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Oxford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why South Oxford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Oxford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In South Oxford, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points below the New York average of 34%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in South Oxford are family households, above 77% of cities. South Oxford runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Oxford, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in South Oxford looks the way it does
Turnout in South Oxford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oxford, NY R+39
- Tyner, NY R+36
- Coventryville, NY R+39
- West Bainbridge, NY R+40
- Guilford, NY R+43
- Smithville Center, NY R+35
- Guilford Center, NY R+45
- Triangle, NY R+27
- Greene, NY R+32
- North Afton, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Perote, AL D+17
- Kellerville, IN R+58
- Circle Hill, OH R+64
- Vulcan, MO R+66
- Madison Center, NY R+37
- Nicklin, PA R+45
- Robbins, TX R+73
- Sunizona, AZ R+41
- Salvo, NC R+18
- Melvine, TN R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.