Hannibal leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Hannibal typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hannibal, ~19% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hannibal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hannibal leans more Republican than 64 of 84 neighbors.
Hannibal runs about 51 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hannibal is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hannibal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hannibal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hannibal votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hannibal runs about 51 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Hannibal drive to work alone, above 86% of cities. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hannibal sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 92% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hannibal, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hannibal looks the way it does
Turnout in Hannibal sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hannibal Center, NY R+42
- North Hannibal, NY R+39
- South Hannibal, NY R+41
- Granby Center, NY R+28
- Martville, NY R+39
- Sterling, NY R+27
- Furniss, NY R+16
- Sterling Valley, NY R+16
- Southwest Oswego, NY R+6
- Floridaville, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarksville, TX Even
- Waco, GA R+72
- Holmesville, OH R+75
- West End-Cobb Town, AL R+35
- Nags Head, NC R+22
- Fair Play, SC R+71
- Madison, VA R+32
- Garfield, GA R+34
- Stryker, OH R+55
- Fairfax, SC D+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.