Sterling Valley leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Sterling Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sterling Valley, ~21% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sterling Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sterling Valley leans more Republican than 7 of 67 neighbors.
Sterling Valley runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Sterling Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Sterling Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sterling Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sterling Valley votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Sterling Valley runs about 29 points more Republican.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Sterling Valley, NY does.
Why turnout in Sterling Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Sterling Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 55%). Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Southwest Oswego, NY R+6
- Sterling, NY R+27
- North Hannibal, NY R+39
- Furniss, NY R+16
- Fair Haven, NY R+24
- Hannibal, NY R+39
- Hannibal Center, NY R+42
- Minetto, NY Even
- Martville, NY R+39
- North Victory, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Abbot Village, ME R+45
- Eastport, ID R+68
- Cherry Valley, PA R+58
- Samford, MO R+75
- Chappell, KY R+78
- Charles, GA D+27
- Chapelle, NM D+29
- Kingman, ME R+40
- Joshua Falls, VA R+13
- Arbon, ID R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.