Happy Jack leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Happy Jack typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Happy Jack, ~16% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Happy Jack compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Happy Jack leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Happy Jack runs about 33 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Happy Jack leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Happy Jack, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Happy Jack live in densely developed areas, about 37 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Happy Jack, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Happy Jack looks the way it does
Turnout in Happy Jack sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stoneman Lake, AZ R+39
- Mormon Lake, AZ R+31
- Pine, AZ R+44
- Forest Lakes, AZ R+41
- Star Valley, AZ R+53
- Strawberry, AZ R+46
- Payson, AZ R+42
- Heber, AZ R+51
- Munds Park, AZ R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mechanics Grove, PA R+58
- Lincoln, MN R+47
- Mountain View, WA R+7
- Philadelphus, NC R+33
- Dryad, WA R+42
- Warren, NH R+12
- Votaw, TX R+89
- Benoit, MS D+29
- Benedict, MN R+25
- Fishers Landing, NY R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.