Harlan leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Harlan typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harlan, ~27% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harlan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harlan is the most Republican-leaning.
Harlan runs about 47 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Harlan is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Harlan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harlan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Harlan votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Harlan runs about 47 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Harlan sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Harlan are family households, above 95% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Harlan, OR does.
Why turnout in Harlan looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Harlan have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burnt Woods, OR R+31
- Eddyville, OR R+32
- Blodgett, OR Even
- Elk City, OR R+28
- Toledo, OR R+16
- Alsea, OR R+7
- Nashville, OR D+9
- Yaquina, OR Even
- Tidewater, OR D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Antelope, MT R+58
- Missler, KS R+69
- Rising Sun, WI R+26
- Pierce, FL R+29
- Daretown, NJ R+45
- Pinesville, NY R+17
- Onomea, HI D+37
- Union, TN R+62
- Palermo, KS R+59
- Gorman, NC D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.