Hartsel leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Hartsel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartsel, ~40% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartsel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hartsel leans more Republican than 5 of 11 neighbors.
Hartsel runs about 18 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Hartsel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hartsel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartsel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Hartsel live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the Colorado average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Hartsel are family households, above 83% of cities. Hartsel runs against the grain of Colorado, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hartsel, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hartsel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hartsel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Hartsel own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Hartsel have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Turret, CO R+5
- Johnson Village, CO R+8
- Buena Vista, CO R+8
- Como, CO R+12
- Nathrop, CO R+2
- Fairplay, CO D+5
- Granite, CO R+8
- Glentivar, CO R+2
- Guffey, CO R+12
- Tarryall, CO R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Barre, VT R+19
- Kaumakani, HI D+24
- Spring Garden, PA R+2
- Palo Verde, AZ R+44
- Little Texas, AL D+29
- Morley, MO R+66
- Husser, LA R+70
- Morris Chapel, TN R+72
- Honey Lake, WI R+37
- Piney Green, NC R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.