Palo Verde leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Palo Verde typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palo Verde, ~14% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palo Verde compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palo Verde leans more Republican than 13 of 15 neighbors.
Palo Verde runs about 38 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palo Verde. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Palo Verde leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palo Verde, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Palo Verde hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Palo Verde, AZ does.
Why turnout in Palo Verde looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Palo Verde is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Palo Verde rent, above 86% of cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in Palo Verde have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arlington, AZ R+49
- Buckeye, AZ R+16
- Tonopah, AZ R+50
- Perryville, AZ R+21
- Liberty, AZ R+41
- Rainbow Valley, AZ R+30
- Goodyear, AZ R+8
- Waddell, AZ R+35
- Litchfield Park, AZ R+9
- Sil Murk, AZ R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Honey Lake, WI R+37
- Prospect, OR R+41
- Little Texas, AL D+29
- Kaumakani, HI D+24
- East Barre, VT R+19
- Spring Garden, PA R+2
- Annabella, UT R+77
- Morris Chapel, TN R+72
- Red Rock, GA R+70
- Hartsel, CO R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.