Hayfield is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Hayfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hayfield, ~22% vote Democratic, ~72% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hayfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hayfield leans more Republican than 32 of 37 neighbors.
Hayfield runs about 40 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Why Hayfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hayfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hayfield, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Iowa average of 24%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hayfield, IA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hayfield looks the way it does
Turnout in Hayfield sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Duncan, IA R+52
- Crystal Lake, IA R+46
- Miller, IA R+45
- Forest City, IA R+22
- Garner, IA R+32
- Britt, IA R+37
- Hutchins, IA R+51
- Woden, IA R+50
- Leland, IA R+39
- Ventura, IA R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Gifford, MO R+69
- Surprise Valley, OR R+37
- Paulette, MS D+12
- Melvin, OH R+66
- Onchiota, NY R+9
- Wales, TN R+51
- Mina, PA R+56
- Dillard, MO R+70
- West Conesville, NY R+37
- Hartmans Corners, NY R+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.