Hayti Heights leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Hayti Heights typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hayti Heights, ~36% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hayti Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hayti Heights is the most Democratic-leaning.
Hayti Heights runs about 57 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Hayti Heights is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hayti Heights. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+66) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+51), a spread of about 118 points.
Why Hayti Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hayti Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Hayti Heights is about 23%, about 49 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Hayti Heights have never been married, in the top fraction of cities. Hayti Heights runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hayti Heights, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hayti Heights looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hayti Heights is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 21 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 61% of households in Hayti Heights rent, compared to around 29% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in Hayti Heights report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hayti, MO D+9
- Deering, MO R+61
- Stanley, MO R+71
- Pascola, MO R+54
- Shade, MO R+75
- Netherlands, MO R+66
- Braggadocio, MO R+67
- Bragg City, MO R+70
- Caruthersville, MO R+21
- Micola, MO R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- Delta, IA R+53
- Jaudon, MO R+49
- Climax, NY R+27
- Comins, MI R+48
- Klickitat, WA R+29
- Falling Spring, VA R+64
- Whitehead, NC R+58
- South Cambridge, VT D+22
- North Liberty, OH R+63
- Yost, OK R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.