Hayti leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Hayti typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hayti, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hayti compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hayti leans more Democratic than 74 of 76 neighbors.
Hayti runs about 27 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Hayti is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hayti. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+64) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+56), a spread of about 120 points.
Why Hayti leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hayti, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Hayti is about 47%, about 25 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in Hayti have never been married, above 96% of cities. Hayti runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Hayti, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hayti looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hayti is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 19 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in Hayti rent, compared to around 30% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 41% of adults in Hayti report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hayti Heights, MO D+38
- Stanley, MO R+71
- Deering, MO R+61
- Pascola, MO R+54
- Netherlands, MO R+66
- Shade, MO R+75
- Caruthersville, MO R+21
- Braggadocio, MO R+67
- Micola, MO R+75
- Bragg City, MO R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Craigsville, WV R+61
- Kirkwood, PA R+57
- Sunset Valley, TX D+47
- Aspinwall, PA D+46
- Hoboken, GA R+85
- Taylor, AL R+67
- Pinebluff, NC R+17
- Mart, TX R+37
- Plattsburg, MO R+43
- East Dublin, GA D+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.