Hickory Flat is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Hickory Flat typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Flat, ~10% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Flat leans more Republican than 47 of 73 neighbors.
Hickory Flat runs about 39 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Hickory Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Hickory Flat hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hickory Flat, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hickory Flat looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Hickory Flat sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lavinia, TN R+70
- Terry, TN R+66
- Mount Gilead, TN R+64
- Howley, TN R+66
- Law, TN R+69
- Cedar Grove, TN R+67
- Spring Creek, TN R+66
- Concord, TN R+73
- West, TN R+62
- Blue Goose, TN R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dublin, NY R+47
- Adams, KY R+71
- North Lake, MI R+28
- Pyrmont, OH R+60
- Phillipston Four Corners, MA R+24
- Revillo, SD R+53
- Retreat, TX R+69
- Colmar, KY R+77
- Mecklenburg, NY D+3
- Pearls Corner, NH Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.