Lavinia is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Lavinia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lavinia, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lavinia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lavinia leans more Republican than 56 of 75 neighbors.
Lavinia runs about 40 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lavinia. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 65 points.
Why Lavinia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lavinia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 3% of adults in Lavinia hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Lavinia, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lavinia looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Lavinia sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hickory Flat, TN R+69
- Howley, TN R+66
- Concord, TN R+73
- Terry, TN R+66
- Atwood, TN R+59
- West, TN R+62
- Cedar Grove, TN R+67
- Milan, TN R+38
- Law, TN R+69
- McLemoresville, TN R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glenfield, NC R+6
- Salsbury Cove, ME D+46
- Pilot Station, AK D+23
- Busy Corner, MS R+73
- Wisconsin Junction, WI R+35
- Three Forks, VA R+49
- Moundville, MO R+68
- Three Oaks, TN R+76
- Monteview, ID R+82
- Lynx, OH R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.