Hickory Tree is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Hickory Tree typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Tree, ~10% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Tree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Tree leans more Republican than 40 of 59 neighbors.
Hickory Tree runs about 41 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Hickory Tree leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Tree, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Hickory Tree hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Hickory Tree are family households, above 88% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hickory Tree, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hickory Tree looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Hickory Tree sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Emmett, TN R+75
- Carter, TN R+71
- Bluff City, TN R+63
- Hunter, TN R+70
- Keenburg, TN R+71
- Bristol, TN R+48
- Holston Valley, TN R+74
- Buladeen, TN R+76
- Bristol, VA R+43
- Watauga, TN R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Low Hampton, NY R+43
- Pedenville, GA R+54
- Fence Lake, NM R+29
- Wallaceton, PA R+60
- Monches, WI R+41
- Froid, MT R+62
- Redwood, MS R+41
- Furniss, NY R+16
- Chassahowitzka, FL R+62
- Chebeague Island, ME D+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.