Fence Lake, NM Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Fence Lake

Fence Lake leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 
Fence Lake, NM block-group political-lean map
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About 62% of adults in Fence Lake typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fence Lake, ~22% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Fence Lake, NM block-group voter-turnout map
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How Fence Lake compares

Fence Lake runs about 35 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Fence Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fence Lake. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+63), a spread of about 97 points.

Why Fence Lake leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fence Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 87% of households in Fence Lake are family households, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Fence Lake sits in the bottom quarter (about 7%, below 97% of cities). Fence Lake runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fence Lake, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Fence Lake looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fence Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Fence Lake report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.