Hillburn, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hillburn

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hillburn leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 49% of adults in Hillburn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hillburn, ~26% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hillburn compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hillburn leans more Democratic than 182 of 272 neighbors.

Hillburn runs about 7 points more Republican than New York as a whole.

Why Hillburn leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hillburn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Hillburn is about 26%, about 46 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Hillburn have never been married, above 91% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hillburn, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Hillburn looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 48% of households in Hillburn rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Hillburn have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.