Holiday Hill leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Holiday Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holiday Hill, ~26% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holiday Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Holiday Hill leans more Democratic than 23 of 24 neighbors.
Holiday Hill runs about 31 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Holiday Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Holiday Hill. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Holiday Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holiday Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Holiday Hill votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Holiday Hill runs about 31 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Holiday Hill, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Holiday Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Holiday Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Glynlea-Grove Park, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Woodland Acres, Jacksonville, FL D+26
- Southsuide Estates, Jacksonville, FL R+18
- Alderman Park, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Sans Souci, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Tiger Hole-Secret Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- Regency, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Arlington, Jacksonville, FL D+18
- Arlingwood, Jacksonville, FL R+2
- Windy Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Otter Creek Crystal, Little Rock, AR D+52
- Downtown Glendale, Glendale, AZ D+16
- Forest Hills, Tampa, FL R+8
- Central, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Florida Center, Orlando, FL D+21
- Haller Lake, Seattle, WA D+60
- DMV, San Bernardino, CA D+27
- Downtown Riverside, Riverside, CA D+20
- Cedar-Riverside, Minneapolis, MN D+66
- Lakewood, Sunnyvale, CA D+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.