Holmesville leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Holmesville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmesville, ~22% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holmesville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holmesville leans more Republican than 1 of 35 neighbors.
Holmesville runs about 24 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holmesville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Holmesville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holmesville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Holmesville drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Holmesville fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Holmesville, NE sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Holmesville looks the way it does
Turnout in Holmesville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Beatrice, NE R+37
- Glenover, NE R+51
- Rockford, NE R+64
- Blue Springs, NE R+59
- Ellis, NE R+59
- Hoag, NE R+58
- Wymore, NE R+61
- Pickrell, NE R+58
- Filley, NE R+64
- Virginia, NE R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Little River, CA D+63
- Lenzburg, IL R+57
- Clarksburg, PA R+55
- Belt, MT R+52
- White Lake, NC R+50
- Zoe, OK R+69
- Whitstran, WA R+44
- Humboldt, SD R+54
- Manchester, LA R+71
- Versailles, NY D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.