Holt County is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Holt County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holt County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holt County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Holt County leans more Republican than 11 of 14 neighbors.
Holt County runs about 42 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Holt County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holt County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Holt County, about 93% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Holt County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 13%, below 77% of counties).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Holt County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Holt County looks the way it does
Turnout in Holt County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Doniphan County, KS R+58
- Andrew County, MO R+50
- Nodaway County, MO R+38
- Richardson County, NE R+55
- Atchison County, MO R+59
- Brown County, KS R+42
- Buchanan County, MO R+23
- Atchison County, KS R+34
- Gentry County, MO R+63
- Nemaha County, NE R+45
Counties with Similar Populations
- Barber County, KS R+69
- Phillips County, MT R+52
- Bath County, VA R+54
- Kittson County, MN R+34
- Menominee County, WI D+59
- Mora County, NM D+18
- Hidalgo County, NM R+22
- Custer County, ID R+52
- Grant County, OK R+70
- Kimble County, TX R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.