Honouliuli is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Honouliuli typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Honouliuli, ~21% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Honouliuli compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Honouliuli sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 4 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 30 leaning the other way.
Honouliuli runs about 21 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Why Honouliuli leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Honouliuli. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Honouliuli, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Honouliuli looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 74% of households in Honouliuli rent, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of homes in Honouliuli have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ewa Beach, HI D+7
- Kapolei, HI D+7
- Waipahu, HI D+10
- Hickam Housing, HI D+8
- Pearl Harbor, HI D+20
- Pearl City, HI D+17
- Nanakuli, HI D+5
- Aiea, HI D+20
- Kunia, HI R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Minatare, NE R+65
- Union, IL R+22
- Bucoda, WA R+29
- Barry, IL R+55
- Columbus, NM R+26
- Stony Creek, VA Even
- Byng, OK R+58
- Pembine, WI R+41
- Karns City, PA R+60
- New Berlin, PA R+48
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.