Nanakuli, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Nanakuli

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Nanakuli is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.

 

About 46% of adults in Nanakuli typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nanakuli, ~24% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Nanakuli compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Nanakuli leans more Democratic than 5 of 29 neighbors.

Nanakuli runs about 18 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nanakuli. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Nanakuli leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Nanakuli. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Nanakuli, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Nanakuli looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 32% of adults in Nanakuli report food insecurity, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Nanakuli rent, compared to around 50% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.