Hope leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Hope typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hope, ~28% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hope leans more Democratic than 42 of 45 neighbors.
Hope runs about 37 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Hope is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hope. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 102 points.
Why Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 42% of residents in Hope live in densely developed areas, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Hope have never been married, above 76% of cities. Hope runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Hope, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hope looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hope is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Hope rent, compared to around 17% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in Hope report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Perrytown, AR R+55
- Shover Springs, AR R+70
- Oakhaven, AR R+39
- Guernsey, AR R+36
- Spring Hill, AR R+72
- Piney Grove, AR R+37
- Emmet, AR R+62
- Sheppard, AR R+41
- Washington, AR R+24
- Shiloh, AR R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Honey Brook, PA R+21
- Quartz Hill, CA R+16
- Poteau, OK R+57
- Slatington, PA R+29
- Myrtle Grove, NC R+16
- Tillamook, OR R+18
- Trenton, FL R+66
- Fort Madison, IA R+22
- Gulf Gate Estates, FL R+12
- Milan, TN R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.