Shover Springs is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Shover Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shover Springs, ~10% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shover Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shover Springs leans more Republican than 38 of 42 neighbors.
Shover Springs runs about 39 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Shover Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shover Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Shover Springs live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Shover Springs, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Shover Springs looks the way it does
Turnout in Shover Springs sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Piney Grove, AR R+37
- Hope, AR D+6
- Perrytown, AR R+55
- Patmos, AR R+70
- Emmet, AR R+62
- Spring Hill, AR R+72
- Shiloh, AR R+48
- Guernsey, AR R+36
- Bodcaw, AR R+62
- Oakhaven, AR R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nodine, MN R+18
- Weeksbury, KY R+59
- Saratoga, TX R+91
- Rolette, ND R+26
- Paragonah, UT R+73
- Missouri City, MO R+41
- Mire, LA R+77
- Central Valley, UT R+72
- Amherst, NE R+67
- Quenemo, KS R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.