Houston leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Houston typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Houston, ~21% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Houston compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Houston leans more Republican than 48 of 62 neighbors.
Houston runs about 38 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Houston is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Houston leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Houston, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Houston live in densely developed areas, about 19 points below the Minnesota average of 23%. Houston runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Houston, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Houston looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Houston have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Money Creek, MN R+31
- Sheldon, MN R+32
- Yucatan, MN R+33
- South Rushford, MN R+31
- New Hartford, MN R+21
- Ridgeway, MN R+24
- Hokah, MN R+24
- Rushford, MN R+28
- Caledonia, MN R+32
- Rushford Village, MN R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Collegeville, MN R+19
- Sand Fork, WV D+12
- Warthen, GA R+21
- Nova, OH R+61
- Marshallville, GA D+17
- Danvers, IL R+43
- Polo, MO R+59
- Camp Hill, AL D+37
- Washington, TX R+39
- Hershey, NE R+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.