New Hartford leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 69% of adults in New Hartford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hartford, ~28% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hartford leans more Republican than 18 of 63 neighbors.
New Hartford runs about 25 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while New Hartford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hartford. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 19 points.
Why New Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Hartford votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while New Hartford runs about 25 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hartford, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in New Hartford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Hartford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in New Hartford have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nodine, MN R+18
- Dakota, MN R+17
- Ridgeway, MN R+24
- Pickwick, MN R+23
- Money Creek, MN R+31
- La Crescent, MN R+4
- Houston, MN R+34
- Witoka, MN R+22
- Lamoille, MN R+22
- Hokah, MN R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, PA R+38
- Nasonville, WI R+38
- Davidson, OK R+70
- Bladen, NE R+72
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Daykin, NE R+64
- Shambaugh, IA R+56
- Spring Grove, KY R+64
- Lincoln City, IN R+48
- Vandalia, IA R+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.