Isle of Wight County leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Isle of Wight County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Isle of Wight County, ~36% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Isle of Wight County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Isle of Wight County leans more Republican than 19 of 28 neighbors.
Isle of Wight County runs about 23 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Isle of Wight County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Isle of Wight County. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+46) and the north side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Isle of Wight County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Isle of Wight County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Isle of Wight County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Isle of Wight County runs about 23 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 70% of households in Isle of Wight County are family households, above 81% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Isle of Wight County, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Isle of Wight County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Isle of Wight County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Suffolk City, VA D+20
- Newport News City, VA D+38
- Portsmouth City, VA D+41
- Hampton City, VA D+41
- Surry County, VA D+2
- York County, VA R+3
- Poquoson City, VA R+38
- Norfolk City, VA D+44
- Chesapeake City, VA D+9
- Franklin City, VA D+32
Counties with Similar Populations
- Colleton County, SC R+17
- Warren County, PA R+41
- Graham County, AZ R+39
- Gloucester County, VA R+38
- Champaign County, OH R+51
- Finney County, KS R+25
- Woodford County, IL R+40
- Dallas County, AL D+38
- Guernsey County, OH R+50
- Susquehanna County, PA R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.