Surry County is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Surry County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Surry County, ~41% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Surry County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Surry County sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 17 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
Politically, Surry County sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Surry County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Surry County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Surry County. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Surry County, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Surry County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Surry County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 67% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- James City County, VA D+8
- Williamsburg City, VA D+43
- Isle of Wight County, VA R+17
- Newport News City, VA D+38
- York County, VA R+3
- Sussex County, VA Even
- Charles City County, VA D+8
- Prince George County, VA R+2
- Gloucester County, VA R+38
- Poquoson City, VA R+38
Counties with Similar Populations
- Wolfe County, KY R+57
- Rio Blanco County, CO R+46
- Fremont County, IA R+47
- Fulton County, KY R+41
- King and Queen County, VA R+28
- Wilkin County, MN R+39
- Wayne County, IA R+56
- Clark County, MO R+60
- Dallas County, AR R+18
- Buena Vista City, VA R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.