Jacksonville is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 91% of adults in Jacksonville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jacksonville, ~46% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jacksonville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jacksonville sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 20 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 74 leaning the other way.
Jacksonville runs about 31 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jacksonville. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+31) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Jacksonville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Jacksonville. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Jacksonville, VT sits above the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Jacksonville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Jacksonville own their home, about 12 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitingham, VT R+6
- West Halifax, VT D+31
- Harrisville, VT D+38
- Wilmington, VT D+35
- Heath, MA D+18
- Green River, VT D+22
- Marlboro, VT D+38
- Rowe, MA D+7
- Monroe Bridge, MA D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kinross, MI R+31
- Brookston, TX R+76
- Bradley, OK R+73
- Clarkston, UT R+68
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
- Powers, OR R+29
- New Albin, IA R+37
- Round Top, TX R+67
- Murray, NY R+40
- Auburntown, TN R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.