Jacobs Prairie leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Jacobs Prairie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jacobs Prairie, ~25% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jacobs Prairie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jacobs Prairie leans more Republican than 8 of 52 neighbors.
Jacobs Prairie runs about 41 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Jacobs Prairie is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jacobs Prairie. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Jacobs Prairie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jacobs Prairie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jacobs Prairie votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Jacobs Prairie runs about 41 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Jacobs Prairie are family households, above 76% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Jacobs Prairie, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Jacobs Prairie looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Jacobs Prairie is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cold Spring, MN R+39
- Collegeville, MN R+19
- Rockville, MN R+44
- Pleasant Lake, MN R+27
- St. Joseph, MN R+19
- Richmond, MN R+59
- Avon, MN R+47
- Waite Park, MN D+5
- Luxemburg, MN R+45
- Albany, MN R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clifton, KS R+73
- Viola, OR R+19
- La Puebla, NM D+24
- Scotia, NE R+67
- White Oak, AL R+69
- Logan, KS R+74
- Fairhope, PA R+57
- Highpoint, MS D+38
- Verda, LA R+90
- Wakeland, IN R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.