Avon leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Avon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avon, ~17% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Avon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Avon leans more Republican than 15 of 50 neighbors.
Avon runs about 51 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Avon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Avon. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Avon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Avon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Avon votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Avon runs about 51 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Avon are family households, above 75% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Avon, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Avon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Avon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Avon have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Collegeville, MN R+19
- St. Anna, MN R+64
- Albany, MN R+54
- St. Wendel, MN R+51
- St. Joseph, MN R+19
- Jacobs Prairie, MN R+37
- Holdingford, MN R+66
- Opole, MN R+58
- Freeport, MN R+71
- Cold Spring, MN R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clyde, NY R+29
- Marcellus, MI R+35
- Glenwood, AR R+67
- Minoa, NY Even
- Wolcott, NY R+35
- South Toms River, NJ R+3
- South Deerfield, MA D+24
- Minford, OH R+57
- Baldwin, MD R+22
- Charlotte Harbor, FL R+22
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.