Jasper is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Jasper typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jasper, ~13% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jasper compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jasper leans more Republican than 18 of 55 neighbors.
Jasper runs about 32 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jasper. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+55), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Jasper leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jasper, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Jasper live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Jasper sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 86% of cities).
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Jasper, AR does.
Why turnout in Jasper looks the way it does
Turnout in Jasper sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mossville, AR R+55
- Vendor, AR R+73
- Pruitt, AR R+63
- Mount Sherman, AR R+57
- Parthenon, AR R+56
- Hasty, AR R+70
- Erbie, AR R+53
- Wayton, AR R+56
- Mount Judea, AR R+74
- Marble Falls, AR R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Agua Dulce, TX R+21
- Montezuma, IN R+58
- Nelson, OH R+49
- Solon, ME R+28
- Smicksburg, PA R+67
- Gurley, LA D+4
- Manilla, IA R+58
- Spring Valley, AL R+75
- Albion, CA D+62
- East Chatham, NY D+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.