Smicksburg is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Smicksburg typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smicksburg, ~9% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smicksburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smicksburg leans more Republican than 117 of 175 neighbors.
Smicksburg runs about 65 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Smicksburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smicksburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Smicksburg, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Smicksburg are family households, above 97% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Smicksburg, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Smicksburg looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 72% of adults in Smicksburg have completed high school, about 18 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Smicksburg sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Smicksburg sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Trade City, PA R+67
- Georgeville, PA R+68
- Porter, PA R+73
- Dayton, PA R+69
- Hamilton, PA R+71
- Plumville, PA R+65
- Covode, PA R+68
- Beyer, PA R+63
- Valier, PA R+71
- Home, PA R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gurley, LA D+4
- Spring Valley, AL R+75
- Nelson, OH R+49
- Jasper, AR R+63
- Solon, ME R+28
- Manilla, IA R+58
- Agua Dulce, TX R+21
- Montezuma, IN R+58
- Brinnon, WA D+7
- Antonito, CO R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.