Jefferson Estates is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Jefferson Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jefferson Estates, ~16% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jefferson Estates compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jefferson Estates leans more Republican than 56 of 89 neighbors.
Jefferson Estates runs about 45 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Jefferson Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jefferson Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Jefferson Estates drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Jefferson Estates are family households, above 87% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Jefferson Estates, OH sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jefferson Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Jefferson Estates sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Logan Elm Village, OH R+55
- Yellowbud, OH R+55
- Circleville, OH R+34
- Thatcher, OH R+55
- Meade, OH R+55
- Fox, OH R+55
- Knollwood Village, OH R+44
- Williamsport, OH R+56
- Kingston, OH R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woody, CA R+52
- Edgewater Park, OK R+58
- Rushing, AR R+63
- Vining, IA R+45
- Tollette, AR D+8
- Garden Plain, IL R+43
- Ridgeville, PA R+37
- Jordan Mines, VA R+64
- Walker, KS R+69
- Ivy Log, GA R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.