Tollette leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Tollette typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tollette, ~29% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tollette compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tollette leans more Democratic than 48 of 50 neighbors.
Tollette runs about 38 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Tollette is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Tollette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tollette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 61% of residents in Tollette are Black or African American, about 50 points above the Arkansas average of 11%. Tollette runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tollette, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tollette looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 99% of adults in Tollette have completed high school, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Tollette sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mineral Springs, AR D+14
- Buck Range, AR R+5
- Columbus, AR R+10
- Saratoga, AR R+8
- Ozan, AR R+34
- Paraloma, AR R+67
- Nashville, AR R+32
- Washington, AR R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rushing, AR R+63
- Fairview, IN R+68
- Fairmead, CA R+37
- Garden Plain, IL R+43
- Horseshoe Lake, AR R+81
- Anderson, AK R+32
- Ralston, PA R+63
- Bowles, AL R+24
- Parrish, WI R+38
- Teasdale, UT R+59
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.