Keaukaha, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Keaukaha

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Keaukaha leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.

 

About 57% of adults in Keaukaha typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keaukaha, ~36% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Keaukaha compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Keaukaha leans more Democratic than 20 of 27 neighbors.

Keaukaha runs about 6 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Keaukaha leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keaukaha, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in Keaukaha hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Keaukaha have never been married, above 87% of cities.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Keaukaha, HI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Keaukaha looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 25% of adults in Keaukaha report food insecurity, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Keaukaha rent, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.