Kukui, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kukui

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kukui leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.

 

About 58% of adults in Kukui typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kukui, ~37% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kukui compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kukui leans more Democratic than 17 of 27 neighbors.

Kukui runs about 4 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Kukui leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kukui, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Kukui hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Kukui have never been married, above 89% of cities.

Frequent mental distress and voter turnout

Places with a high frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kukui, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.

Why turnout in Kukui looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 8% of homes in Kukui have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.