Kelly leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Kelly typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kelly, ~17% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kelly compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kelly leans more Republican than 13 of 66 neighbors.
Kelly runs about 12 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kelly. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+76) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 73 points.
Why Kelly leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kelly, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Kelly are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Kelly, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Kelly looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 44% of households in Kelly rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Kelly report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Kelly have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Rucker, AL R+52
- Waterford, AL R+62
- Daleville, AL R+36
- Ozark, AL R+24
- Newton, AL R+77
- Level Plains, AL R+44
- Pinckard, AL R+66
- Clayhatchee, AL R+70
- Coppinville, AL R+35
- Mabson, AL R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adak, AK R+3
- Carversville, PA D+5
- Kamrar, IA R+47
- Bethlehem, OH R+58
- Mount Vernon, NC R+46
- Arco, MN R+50
- White Pine, MT R+58
- Coltons Point, MD R+42
- Camptonville, CA R+10
- Skamokawa, WA R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.