Kirby leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Kirby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirby, ~33% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirby leans more Republican than 15 of 39 neighbors.
Kirby runs about 11 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kirby. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Kirby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Kirby live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Mississippi average of 15%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Kirby, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Kirby looks the way it does
Turnout in Kirby sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oldenburg, MS R+31
- Meadville, MS R+38
- White Apple, MS R+23
- Hamburg, MS D+25
- Roxie, MS R+3
- Bude, MS R+10
- Knoxville, MS R+29
- McNair, MS D+80
- Leesdale, MS R+13
- Perth, MS R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adair, IL R+49
- Mount Liberty, WV R+65
- Stotonic Village, AZ D+55
- Doss, TX R+74
- Philrich, TX R+76
- Palmer, NY R+34
- Upper Frenchville, ME R+34
- Delisle, OH R+70
- Ayr, NE R+74
- Oakland Mills, IA R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.