Palmer leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Palmer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palmer, ~24% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palmer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palmer leans more Republican than 75 of 86 neighbors.
Palmer runs about 47 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Palmer is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Palmer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palmer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Palmer drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Palmer fits that profile on both counts. Palmer runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Palmer, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Palmer looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Palmer is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 59% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Corinth, NY R+28
- Randall Corner, NY R+32
- Lake Luzerne, NY R+29
- Hadley, NY R+34
- Porter Corners, NY R+20
- Lake Vanare, NY R+21
- West Glens Falls, NY R+13
- Gansevoort, NY R+5
- Gurn Spring, NY R+8
- Kings Station, NY D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yuma, KY R+73
- Adair, IL R+49
- Oakland Mills, IA R+46
- Big Bend, WV R+67
- Newton Hamilton, PA R+69
- Upper Frenchville, ME R+34
- Temperance, GA R+72
- North Liberty, PA R+47
- Kattelville, NY R+23
- Archibald, LA R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.