La Plaza leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 24% of adults in La Plaza typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Plaza, ~15% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~76% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Plaza compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, La Plaza leans more Democratic than 34 of 41 neighbors.
La Plaza runs about 7 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why La Plaza leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Plaza, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in La Plaza live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 58% of adults in La Plaza have never been married, above 91% of neighborhoods.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; La Plaza, San Bernardino, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in La Plaza looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. La Plaza is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 23 points below the California average of 62%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in La Plaza report food insecurity, above 95% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 63% of adults in La Plaza have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Alessandro, San Bernardino, CA D+29
- Feldheym, San Bernardino, CA D+25
- Mount Vernon, San Bernardino, CA D+37
- Lytle Creek, San Bernardino, CA D+26
- SBHS, San Bernardino, CA D+27
- Seccombe Lane, San Bernardino, CA D+30
- Amtrak, San Bernardino, CA D+19
- Shirrells, San Bernardino, CA D+53
- DMV, San Bernardino, CA D+27
- Muscupiabe, San Bernardino, CA D+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Old Saginaw City, Saginaw, MI D+35
- Cortez-Stege, Richmond, CA D+66
- Stockton, Camden, NJ D+53
- North Park, Provo, UT R+15
- West Woods, Golden, CO D+17
- Emerald Hills, San Diego, CA D+45
- Tri-South, Columbus, OH D+58
- Greendale, Worcester, MA D+27
- Bryte, West Sacramento, CA D+8
- South Campus, Madison, WI D+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.