Laguna Vista leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Laguna Vista typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laguna Vista, ~22% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laguna Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laguna Vista leans more Republican than 16 of 17 neighbors.
Laguna Vista runs about 20 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laguna Vista. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Laguna Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laguna Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Laguna Vista votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 42%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Laguna Vista are family households, above 80% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Laguna Vista, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Laguna Vista looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Laguna Vista is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Port Isabel, TX R+6
- Bayview, TX R+35
- South Padre Island, TX R+22
- Los Fresnos, TX R+12
- Indian Lake, TX R+16
- Arroyo Gardens, TX R+16
- Lozano, TX R+14
- Laureles, TX R+11
- Olmito, TX R+10
- Brownsville, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Frontenac, KS R+34
- Gardners, PA R+46
- Islandia, NY D+4
- Cutchogue, NY Even
- Dyess Afb, TX R+26
- Homer, MI R+48
- Hopkins, MI R+44
- Lancaster, NH R+15
- Keedysville, MD R+37
- Lewisport, KY R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.