Lavinia leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Lavinia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lavinia, ~24% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lavinia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lavinia leans more Republican than 15 of 32 neighbors.
Lavinia runs about 24 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lavinia is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lavinia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lavinia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Lavinia live in densely developed areas, about 19 points below the Minnesota average of 23%. Lavinia runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lavinia, MN sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lavinia looks the way it does
Turnout in Lavinia sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Keewatin, MN R+18
- Chisholm, MN Even
- Hibbing, MN R+2
- Nashwauk, MN R+24
- Side Lake, MN R+18
- Buhl, MN R+17
- Wilpen, MN R+17
- Kinney, MN R+22
- Pengilly, MN R+26
- Calumet, MN R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Bridgton, ME R+15
- Worth, MO R+66
- Roma Creek, TX R+4
- Wadena, IN R+54
- Seaforth, MN R+62
- Crandall, MS R+31
- East Greenwich, NY R+15
- East Franklin, ME R+13
- Griffith Creek, TN R+74
- Tilly, AR R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.