Lawrence leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~20% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Republican than 18 of 45 neighbors.
Lawrence runs about 8 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrence. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 58 points.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lawrence. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lawrence, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrence is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 9%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Lawrence report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newton, MS D+23
- Lake, MS R+31
- Calhoun, MS R+17
- Roberts, MS R+26
- Conehatta, MS R+31
- Usrytown, MS R+48
- Decatur, MS R+40
- Hays, MS R+14
- Baxter, MS R+19
- Garlandville, MS R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edison, OH R+58
- Cooks Corners, MI R+41
- Bonnieville, KY R+67
- Bluejacket, OK R+68
- Viola, IL R+27
- Belfield, ND R+74
- Humboldt, IL R+60
- Montgomery, WV R+21
- Edgewood, IA R+46
- Cartwright, OK R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.