Newton leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Newton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newton, ~41% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newton leans more Democratic than 47 of 48 neighbors.
Newton runs about 46 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Newton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newton. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+60) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 107 points.
Why Newton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Newton is about 36%, about 37 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Newton have never been married, above 86% of cities. Newton runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Newton, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Newton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Newton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 7%, about 53 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Calhoun, MS R+17
- Lawrence, MS R+31
- Garlandville, MS R+42
- Hickory, MS R+51
- Roberts, MS R+26
- Decatur, MS R+40
- Baxter, MS R+19
- Lake, MS R+31
- Conehatta, MS R+31
- Chunky, MS R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Potterville, MI R+28
- Edwardsville, KS R+18
- Winneconne, WI R+30
- Sacaton, AZ D+50
- Kane, PA R+38
- Fort Eustis, VA D+6
- Brookfield, MO R+46
- Union Springs, AL D+53
- South Bay, FL D+53
- Auburn, MI R+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.