Lexington leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Lexington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lexington, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lexington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lexington leans more Republican than 8 of 55 neighbors.
Lexington runs about 26 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lexington. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Lexington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lexington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lexington votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 34%, modestly above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lexington, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lexington looks the way it does
Turnout in Lexington sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Henrietta, MO R+59
- Wellington, MO R+62
- Hardin, MO R+63
- Camden, MO R+61
- Dover, MO R+59
- Richmond, MO R+45
- Fleming, MO R+60
- Mayview, MO R+59
- Morton, MO R+65
- Higginsville, MO R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brisbane, CA D+50
- Tichigan, WI R+24
- Kanab, UT R+57
- Jamestown, RI D+25
- Godley, TX R+72
- Thiells, NY R+6
- Siesta Key, FL R+15
- Creve Coeur, IL R+25
- Saunderstown, RI D+13
- Shenandoah, IA R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.