Richmond leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Richmond typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Richmond, ~21% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Richmond compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Richmond leans more Republican than 14 of 56 neighbors.
Richmond runs about 27 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Richmond. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Richmond leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Richmond, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Richmond votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 38%, well above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Richmond sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Richmond, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Richmond looks the way it does
Turnout in Richmond sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Henrietta, MO R+59
- Camden, MO R+61
- Morton, MO R+65
- Fleming, MO R+60
- Hardin, MO R+63
- Rayville, MO R+60
- Orrick, MO R+60
- Millville, MO R+64
- Lexington, MO R+45
- Elkhorn, MO R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monterey, TN R+65
- Lutherville, MD D+24
- Kimberly, ID R+58
- Oakland, MI R+20
- Valhalla, NY D+4
- Emerson, NJ R+13
- Kittery, ME D+26
- Eudora, KS R+22
- West Boylston, MA D+13
- Dillon, MT R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.