Lincoln is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~19% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln leans more Republican than 3 of 13 neighbors.
Lincoln runs about 14 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lincoln. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Lincoln leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lincoln votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, far above the North Dakota average of 12%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Lincoln, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Lincoln own their home, about 16 points above the North Dakota average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Lincoln have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Livona, ND R+49
- Bismarck, ND R+30
- Menoken, ND R+67
- Huff, ND R+69
- Mandan, ND R+44
- St. Anthony, ND R+73
- Baldwin, ND R+65
- Mckenzie, ND R+70
- Fort Rice, ND R+72
- Moffit, ND R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Provincetown, MA D+69
- New Ringgold, PA R+48
- Rice, TX R+31
- Southern Shops, SC Even
- Lima, NY R+15
- North Pole, AK R+17
- Pittsfield, ME R+29
- Indian Rocks Beach, FL R+21
- Double Springs, AL R+84
- Tornillo, TX Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.